2023 Draft Profile: Tommy Troy

Date:

School: Stanford University; Class: Junior

Position: 2B/SS; B/T: R/R

Height: 5-10; Weight: 197

Previously Drafted: N/A

High School: Los Gatos High School

HitPowerSBPatienceGloveOverall
5045/5040505050

ackground: The most successful ballplayer to come out of Los Gatos High School is none than Hal Chase. A suspected (notorious) gambler who may have been “on the take”, Chase finished his 15-year career as a .291/.319/.391 hitter, earning more than 20 wins above replacement (both Baseball Reference and FanGraphs).

Since Chase, the California-based school has churned out a total of two big league hitters: Mike Couchee, owner of two plate appearances at the game’s pinnacle level, and Logan Schafer, a five-year veteran with 318 games on his resume.

Tommy Troy, a sweet swinging shortstop from Stanford, hopes to add his name to the list.

The 5-foot-10, 197-pound middle infielder turned in a solid, sometimes great debut showing for The Cardinal in 2021 as a true freshman, flashing impressive power (six doubles and 10 homeruns) while battling some swing-and-miss issues (25.8% K-rate). Troy’s production improved during his first foray in the vaunted Cape Cod League that summer as he batted .299/.364/.479 with 10 extra-base knocks and only 25 punch outs in 133 plate appearances.

He continued to swing a hot stick during his sophomore season with Stanford as well, slugging .339/.371/.568 with 15 doubles, three triples, seven homeruns, and five stolen bases (though he was somehow thrown out eight times). And, once again, he spent the summer back in The Cape: .310/.386/.531.

This season Troy raised his offensive prowess to a whole other stratosphere as he mashed .398/.481/.707 with career bests in doubles (17), triples (four), homeruns (17), stolen bases (17), and strikeout-to-walk ratio (41-to-34).

Scouting Report: Consider the following:

  • Since 2011, only three Pac-12 hitters slugged at least .390/.470/.700 in a season (min. 250 PA): Adley Rutschman, Andrew Vaughn, and – of course – Tommy Troy.
  • For those counting at home, that’s the first and third overall picks in the 2019 MLB Draft.

But here’s a question: Since 2010, who’s the best professional hitter Stanford has developed? To be fair, there’s a group of similarly performing sticks: Nico Hoerner, Tommy Edman, and Stephen Piscotty.

Troy possesses quick hands and twitchy movements on defense, the actual value is average at best. At the plate, the infield vagabond takes a two-strike approach for each pitch: slightly choked up, very short, quick swing. His approach is more geared towards line drives and it’s doubtful he hits for as much power in the professional ranks as he did during his collegiate career. The hit tool is going to have to carry him far.

Ceiling: 1.5- to 2.0-win player

Risk: Moderate

Grade: First / Second Round

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