Colorado Rockies Top 10 Prospects for 2024

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Don’t forget to pick up your copy of the The 2024 Prospect Digest Handbook here.

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1. Adael Amador, SS

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Background: Colorado paid a pretty penny to secure the services of Amador off the international free agent market a couple years ago, handing the then-16-year-old youngster a hefty seven-figure bonus in 2019. Unfortunately for Amador, as well as the ball club, the switch-hitting Dominican wouldn’t make his professional debut until two years later, thanks in large part due to COVID. But Amador quickly made up for any lost developmental time as he batted .299/.394/.445 in the Complex League in 2021 and then followed up with a .292/.415/.445 showing in Low-A the next year. Last season, Amador was plagued – considerably – by the injury bug. He missed the opening couple weeks of the year due to an undisclosed injury and then underwent surgery to repair a broken hamate bone after suffering an injury in late July. He would eventually pop back up in the Complex League for a quick tour in mid-August before the front office brass haphazardly bumped him up to Double-A for the last few weeks of the year. Including the rehab appearances, Amador batted .287/.380/.495 for the year.

Snippet from The 2023 Prospect Digest Handbook: Part of the “new breed” of prospects that’s becoming more en vogue, simply put, Amador doesn’t swing-and-miss all that much, posting a swinging strike percentage of just 6.94% and a 12.1% strikeout rate. Unlike a lot of extreme bat-to-ball, contact-based hitters, he packs a punch as well, showcasing average power to go along with plus speed and a great eye at the plate.

Scouting Report: Consider the following:

Since 2006, only three 20-year-old bats met the following criteria with one club in any High-A league (min. 250 PA): 140 to 150 wRC+ and a K-rate below 14%. Those three sticks: Luis Campusano, Tyson Gillies, and Adael Amador.

Amador feasted on the hitter-friendly confines of Spokane’s home field. But the young switch-hitter possesses a lightning quick bat and some of the best bat-to-ball skills in the entire minor leagues. The surprisingly part of his toolkit is the thump he continues to display. He’ll never be confused with Babe Ruth, but it’s enough pop to keep pitchers honest. Defensively, he’s likely to slide over to the right side of the keystone. There’s a chance for a plus-plus hit tool, 30 doubles, eight to 12 homeruns, and a dozen stolen bases. Big league ceiling: .290/.340/.415

Ceiling: 3.0-win player

Risk: Moderate

MLB ETA: 2024

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2. Chase Dollander, RHP

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Background: A highly touted – and highly decorated – prospect coming out of Greenbrier High School, Dollander was a three-time All-Region Selection, First Team All-Columbia County, and was eventually ranked as the eighth best player in the state of Georgia by PBR Georgia. Perfect Game also ranked him twice as a preseason All-American prior to his junior and senior campaigns, as well. The 6-foot-2, 200-pound right-hander opened up his collegiate career with a stint through the Sun Belt Conference with Georgia Southern, going 4-and-3 while averaging 11.8 strikeouts and 5.1 walks per nine innings. The native Georgian would leave his home state and head to the land of the Volunteers prior to his sophomore season. And, simply put, he became a key cog in Tennessee’s baseball machine. Dollander would sparkle during his first season in the SEC, throwing 79.0 innings with a downright dominating 108-to-13 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a 2.39 ERA. The hard-throwing hurler’s final season didn’t go as smoothly, though. Making a career best 16 starts, Dollander tossed 86.0 innings, averaging 12.3 strikeouts and 2.9 walks per nine innings. But his ERA bloated to 4.50 – thanks in large part to his propensity to give up dingers. He gave up a whopping 14 homers. For the second time in as many seasons, the club snagged a Volunteer in the first round, using the ninth pick on the SEC ace. The two sides came to an agreement on a deal worth $5,716,900.

Scouting Report: Pre-draft scouting report:

“Dollander’s sophomore campaign placed him among some rarified company. Consider the following:

Between 2011 and 2022, only four pitchers averaged at least 12 strikeouts and fewer than 2.0 walks per nine innings in the SEC (min. 75 IP): Casey Mize (twice), Paul Skenes, Kevin Kopps (the 2021 Golden Spikes Award winner), and – of course – Chase Dollander.

But the Tennessean ace’s command faltered a bit during his junior campaign. Here’s a look at his 2023 production:

Since 2011, only three SEC pitchers averaged more than 12 punch outs and between 2.75 and 3.25 walks per nine innings (min. 75 IP): Kumar Rocker, Doug Nikhazy, and Chase Dollander.

Sporting a deep, quality four-pitch mix. Dollander’s fastball sits in the mid- to upper-90s. It’s a plus pitch by velocity alone, but I don’t think it’s going to have the same type of effect on professional hitters – particularly once he gets into the middle levels of the minor leagues. I just feel like there’s a chance that his fastball plays out about as well as Mark Appel’s. He complements it with a wipeout – albeit inconsistent – slider, a solid average curveball, and a very good changeup. Dollander looked more like a strike-thrower than a quality-pitch thrower during his junior campaign. It wouldn’t be surprising to see the Rangers, who’ve placed a priority on top collegiate arms recently, snag him with the fourth pick.”

Just to reiterate: I think there’s most risk here than people think.

Ceiling: 3.0-win player

Risk: Moderate to High

MLB ETA: 2025/2026

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3. Drew Romo, C

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Background: Colorado’s Double-A affiliate, the Hartford Yard Goats, had any interesting dichotomy going on last season. The roster was seemingly loaded at various points with the likes of Adael Amador, Zac Veen, Jordan Beck, Yanquiel Fernandez, Sterlin Thompson, Hunter Goodman, Gabriel Hughes, Joe Rock, Carson Palmquist, and supremely underrated backstop Drew Romo. And, yet, despite an impressive collection of talent and tools, the Yard Goats somehow finished the year with a completely disappointing 57-76 record, good enough for last place in Eastern League. The disappointment, though, had nothing to do with Romo’s performance at the plate or behind it. The 35th overall pick in 2020, the Woodlands High School product batted a rock solid .254/.313/.440 during his first stint in the fires of Double-A, belting out 18 doubles, two triples, and a career best 13 homeruns. He spent the last couple of games teeing off against the competition in Triple-A (.353/.389/.529). His combined production topped the league average by 4%, per Weighted Runs Created Plus.

Snippet from The 2023 Prospect Digest Handbook: Great looking line-driving hitting swing. Short, fast. It’s going to pepper balls from foul line to foul line. He’s probably not going to be a star but he should be an above-average bat for 10 years.

Scouting Report: Consider the following:

Since 2006, only a quartet of 21-year-old hitters met the following criteria with one club in any Double-A league (min. 300 PA): 98 to 108 wRC+, a 16% to 20% strikeout rate, and a 7% to 9% walk rate. Those four bats: Tim Beckham, Austin Romine, Ty Morrison, and – of course – Drew Romo.

The story on Romo isn’t so much about the standout tools, but it’s more about the lack of weaknesses throughout his whole game. The switch-hitting backstop makes consistent contact, flashes decent power, runs a little bit, and plays solid defense behind the dish. He’s not going to be a flashy big leaguer, but it’s the foundation for a 10-year-starter. Interestingly enough, Romo got off to a slow start to the year, batting .197/.243/.299 through his first 37 games. After that, though, he slugged .300/.363/.541 over his remaining 58 contests. He’s going to be the guy that quietly goes about his business and at the end of the year you’ll be surprised. Ceiling: .265/.330/.410.

Ceiling: 2.0- to 2.0-win player

Risk: Moderate

MLB ETA: 2024

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4. Yanquiel Fernandez, RF

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Background: An amateur free agent import from Havana, Cuba, the Rockies convinced Fernandez to join the perpetually re-building club for a little less than $300,000 in 2019. Almost immediately the investment in the young right fielder started returning dividends. Fernandez mashed the Dominican Summer League competition in 2021 (.333/.406/.531), and manhandled the Low-A competition the following season (.284/.340/.507). Last season started out in similar fashion for Fernandez: he batted a scorching .319/.355/.605 in 58 games with Spokane. But his dominance quickly faded. The young Cuban outfielder was exposed during his first extended stint in Double-A, hitting a paltry .206/.262/.362. Fernandez finished the 2023 season with an aggregate .265/.313/.486 triple-slash line, belting out 25 doubles, three triples, and a career-best 25 homeruns in 117 total games.

Snippet from The 2023 Prospect Digest Handbook: Fernandez shows an intriguing toolkit not highlighted by a lot of the club’s other top young bats. It’s a power-oriented approach with little speed.

Scouting Report: With respect to his work in High-A, consider the following:

Since 2006, only three 20-year-old bats met the following criteria with one club in High-A (min. 250 PA): 143 to 153 wRC+, a 16% to 20% strikeout rate, and a sub-8% walk rate. Those three hitters: Ryan Mountcastle, Victor Robles, and Yanquiel Fernandez.

Now let’s see how his numbers stack out in Double-A:

Since 2006, only two 20-year-old batters posted a wRC+ mark between 65 and 75 with one club in Double-A (min. 200 PA): Carlos Triunfel and Yanquiel Fernandez.

Easily the best the in-game and raw power in the system. Fernandez can absolutely obliterate mistakes across the plate, depositing them in the upper parts of the outfield bleachers. With that being said, he definitely took full advantage of Spokane’s hitter-friendly home field during his stint in High-A last season. Fernandez has always had consistent contact numbers throughout his career, but his whiff rate exploded to nearly one-third of his plate appearances in Double-A. He’s tracking like a low batting average / low OBP power hitter. He’ll add some value on the defensive spectrum, so the overall package should be enough to keep him in the lineup full time.

Ceiling: 2.0-win player

Risk: Moderate

MLB ETA: 2024

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5. Jordan Beck, LF/RF

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Background: Thereare very few organizations that love Tennessee Volunteers as much the Colorado Rockies. The Mile High ball club has selected a total of nine Vols; their first alum being Hall of Famer Todd Helton with the eighth overall pick in 1995. But the Rockies have been quite familiar with the SEC powerhouse over the past couple of seasons as they’ve nabbed Jordan Beck in the opening round two years ago and then followed that up with Seth Halvorsen six rounds last. Last season they used the ninth pick on right-hander Chase Dollander. Beck, the 38th overall pick in 2022, was a consistent power bat in one of the nation’s top lineups over the duration of his career, leaving the school as .284/.366/.553 hitter with 36 doubles, five triples, and 34 homeruns in only 149 games. The Alabama native continued to swing an impressive stick during his abbreviated debut that summer as well, slugging .296/.431/.477 with 10 extra-base knocks in 26 games between the Arizona Complex League and Fresno. Last season, Beck continued to hop, skip, and jump his way through the minors as he spent 76 games with the club’s High-A affiliate (Spokane) and another 50 contests with Hartford. He finished the year with an aggregate .271/.364/.503 slash line with 34 doubles, two triples, 25 homeruns, and 20 stolen bases (in 25 total attempts). Per Weighted Runs Created Plus, his overall production topped the league average mark by an impressive 34% — though most of his damage was done in High-A.

Snippet from The 2023 Prospect Digest Handbook: Big time power no ballpark can contain when he fully gets into one. It’s going to come down to the hit tool. If he makes enough contact, he looks like a low end middle-of-the-lineup thumper. If not, he’s got Quad-A written all over him.

Scouting Report: With respect to his work in Double-A last season, consider the following:

Since 2006, only three 22-year-old hitters met the following criteria with one club in any Double-A league (min. 200 PA): 103 to 113 wRC+ with a strikeout rate between 30% and 34%. Those three bats: Connor Lien, Pablo Aliendo, and Jordan Beck, the former Volunteer of Tennessee.

Again, it’s all going to come down to the hit tool, but he does have a lot of the other skills already in place. Beck breezed through stints in Low-A and High-A the past two seasons, making consistent, loud contact. But his bat was exposed in the fires of Double-A. Long arms and chiseled like a prototypical run-producing corner outfielder, Beck’s swing tends to get long and he struggled to consistently square up the ball as well. There are enough secondary skills – patience, speed, defense, power – to buoy the hit tool, even if it hovers somewhere between a 40- and 45-grade skill. In terms of big league ceiling, think something along the lines of a .245/.330/.450. Brent Rooker vibes.  

Ceiling: 2.0-win player

Risk: Moderate

MLB ETA: 2024/2025

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6. Zac Veen, RF

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Background: To put it frankly, Veen had one of the more disappointing showings in 2023, not only in the Rockies’ farm system, but, perhaps, in all of the minor leagues. A tooled up outfielder out of Spruce Creek High School, Colorado snagged Veen with the ninth overall pick in 2020, directly ahead of Reid Detmers and Garrett Crochet. The Florida-born youngster hit the ground running during his debut in 2021, slugging .301/.399/.501 with 46 extra-base knocks and 36 stolen bases with the Fresno Grizzlies. The following season, 2022, Veen continued to impressive during his extended stint in High-A, batting .269/.368/.439, but he looked dreadfully underprepared in 34 games in Double-A (.177/.262/.234). But the 6-foot-3, 190-pound right fielder seemed to right the ship during his jaunt through the Arizona Fall League, slugging .333/.444/.444 in 21 games with the Salt River Rafters. The front office, unsurprisingly, sent him back to Double-A for some additional seasoning. And, well, let’s just say he’s probably going back there in 2024. Veen batted .209/.304/.308 with just seven doubles, two triples, two homeruns, and 22 stolen bases. Per Weighted Runs Created Plus, his production was 28% below the league average. He hit the injury list in mid-June and would eventually succumb to surgery to repair the extensor capri ulnaris (ECU) tendon in his left wrist.

Snippet from The 2023 Prospect Digest Handbook: The former first round pick might be the best base stealer in the minor leagues and likely belongs on a short list for top base stealer at any level. Plus speed. And he’s just tapping into his above-average power potential. Very wiry and thin, Veen is far from maxing out physically. There’s plus raw power already. Throw in plus glovework in right field and Veen, like some of his farm system counterparts, looks like a potential star.

Scouting Report: An Extensor Capri Ulnaris (ECU) is a new one for me personally. And according to an MLB article by Thomas Harding (06/22/2023) Veen had been dealing with the issue for a while. The same piece quoted Veen’s agent, Jason Romano, as saying, “He just lost all kind of ability to stay through the ball, because the top hand just gives out and gets weak.” It makes sense that a lingering injury like this would have significantly hampered Veen’s ability to hit. Assuming he can get back to his baseline performance in High-A in 2022, Veen still has the makings of an impact player on both sides of the ball. In terms of big league ceiling, think: .260/.340/.440 with 25 stolen bases.

Ceiling: 2.5-win player

Risk: High

MLB ETA: 2024/2025

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7. Jordy Vargas, RHP

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Background: There’s an underappreciated amount of talent brewing within the Rockies’ farm system – on both sides of the ball. Whether or not the organization can bring that talent to fruition is a whole other question. But the Rockies’ youngsters were hit hard last season with either disappointing campaigns or arm injuries. Three of the club’s top arms – Jordy Vargas, Gabriel Hughes, and Jackson Cox – all succumbed to Tommy John surgery by midseason. Signed out of the Dominican Republic for $500,000 in 2021, Vargas was absurdly dominant during his debut in the foreign rookie league later that year, posting a sparkling 1.30 ERA while averaging 11.9 K/9 and 4.2 BB/9 across 34.2 innings of work. The following season, 2022, Vargas split time between the Arizona Complex and California Leagues, once again showing incredible promise: 51.1 innings, 2.98 ERA, 64 punch outs, and just 17 free passes. The wiry righty opened last year back up with Fresno, starting 13 games with the Grizzlies, posting a 64-to-24 strikeout-to-walk ratio to go along with a 4.22 ERA, a 4.07 FIP, and a 4.45 xFIP. According to reports, Vargas underwent the elbow procedure late July. Based on a standard return time, Vargas may step on an affiliated mound late in 2024.

Snippet from The 2023 Prospect Digest Handbook: One of my favorite pitching prospects in the entire minor leagues. If he can avoid the dreaded injury nexus, Vargas could be one of the best pitching prospects in the game. The wiry righty owns one of the loosest, easy flowing arms in the game. Plus fastball. Plus curveball. Average change that may see an uptick with some more fine tuning. Years ago Anderson Espinoza was the heir apparent to the Crown of the Top MiLB pitching prospect. Then injury after injury robbed him of a lot development time. Vargas has that type of potential.

Scouting Report: Consider the following:

Since 2006, here’s the list of 19-year-old hurlers that posted a 25% to 27% strikeout percentage with an 8% to 10% walk percentage with one club in any Low-A league (min. 60 IP): Michael Kopech, Jackson Jobe, Trevor Cahill, Randall Delgado, Alfredo Garcia, Victor Vodnik, and – of course – Jordy Vargas.

For those counting at home:

Kopech’s been an above-average, albeit enigmatically erratic, starter throughout his big league career. Jobe is one of the best pitching prospects in baseball. Cahill, who made the 2010 All-Star Game and finished among the Top 10 voting for the AL Cy Young Award that year, has been a quality big league arm throughout the majority of 13-year career. Delgado, a former consensus Top 50 prospect, spent eight seasons in the Bigs. Garcia never made it past Low-A. And Vodnik debuted last year for the Rockies.

Four of six similarly performing hurlers have cracked the big leagues. Another one is a consensus top prospect. And one flamed out. That’s pretty good odds for Vargas. Prior to the elbow woes, the 6-foot-3, 153-pound right-hander showcased a lively, riding above-average fastball that projects – or, at least, projected – to creep into plus territory. His curveball is an absolute 12-6 hammer, easily one of the best that I saw in the minors last year. And he seems to have a solid feel / ability to throw it for strikes as well. Vargas will also mix in a mid-80s power changeup that at times tumbles hard or shows some significant arm-side run. I love Vargas. I think there’s the foundation in place to be a competent mid-rotation starter – assuming injuries won’t be an issue. Unfortunately, Colorado has proven – time and again – that they can’t coax the most out of their young arms. If everything breaks the right way, he’ll have three above-average or better pitches with 50-grade command.

Ceiling: 2.0-win player

Risk: Moderate to High

MLB ETA: 2026

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8. Benny Montgomery, CF

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Background: The first high school outfielder to be taken in the 2021 draft, the Mile High front office nabbed Montgomery with the eighth overall pick that summer, firmly between left-hander Frank Mozzicato and former flame-throwing righty Sam Bachman. Montgomery immediately opened up some eyes after a strong – albeit abbreviated – debut in the Complex League, batting .340/.404/.383. The following season, despite dealing with a lingering quad issue and an undisclosed injury, Montgomery continued to mash in 56 games with Fresno, posting a .313/.394/.502 slash line. Last season, the front office bumped him up to High-A, but he failed to take full advantage of hitter-friendly confines of Spokane: he batted .251/.336/.370 with 18 doubles, two triples, 10 homeruns, and 18 stolen bases (in 23 total attempts). His production, per Weighted Runs Created Plus, was 5% below the league average. His production saw a notable uptick during his stint in the Arizona Fall League as he slugged .333/.436/.500 with two doubles, one triple, three homeruns, and 10 stolen bases in 19 games with Salt River.

Snippet from The 2023 Prospect Digest Handbook: I’m still not entirely sold on the bat – and likely won’t feel comfortable till he hits in Double-A – but there’s plenty of potential.

Scouting Report: Consider the following:

Since 2006, only three 20-year-old bats posted a 90 to 105 wRC+ mark with a strikeout rate between 26% to 29% with one club in any High-A league (min. 350 PA): Jason Place, Adrian Placencia, and Benny Montgomery.

The majority of his tools scream impact player: average power, plus-plus speed, and the potential (read: potential, not realized) to be a tremendous outfielder. It’s what got him drafted so high and it’s understandable why the Rockies took a liking to him. But it was always going to come down to the hit tool, the great separator from him becoming Mickey Moniak or Kyle Tucker. As for the defense, his plus-plus speed has not translated into a whole lot of net positive value, but it will.

Ceiling: 2.0-win player

Risk: Moderate to High

MLB ETA: 2025

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9. Gabriel Hughes, RHP

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Background: Armed with a Top 10 pick for the 17th time since the franchise’s inception heading into the 2022 draft, the Rockies decidedly honed in on the one position the organization has consistently struggled to develop, pitching, and selected Gonzaga ace Gabriel Hughes with the 10th overall pick two years ago. (Note: it’s now 18 Top 10 picks as of 2023). Hughes, a 6-foot-4, 220-pound righty, flirted with two-way duty during his three-year tenure with the Bulldogs, though it was quite clear his future would be on the bump. He began his professional career last season, making eight starts with the club’s High-A affiliate, the Spokane Indians, before moving on up to Double-A. But after eight starts with the Yard Goats, Hughes hit the disabled list courtesy of a barking elbow that eventually required Tommy John surgery. He finished the year with a combined 6.21 ERA across 66.2 innings, recording an 83-to-26 strikeout-to-walk ratio.

Snippet from The 2023 Prospect Digest Handbook: Despite being the top arm in the collegiate class, Hughes’ ceiling isn’t elite. Mid-rotation caliber potential. Seattle, with their version of Cleveland’s pitching development program, looks like a logical landing place, but he likely won’t be available. Look for a team like Colorado, Detroit, or the Angels to snag Hughes.

Scouting Report: I’m not entirely sure Hughes unveiled a new weapon in his arsenal last season. But I certainly didn’t see it during his amateur time and no other scouting report I’ve looked up includes it. The former first rounder was throwing a power cutter fairly frequently before hitting the disabled list. The 89- to 93-mph offering would flash some impressive – albeit inconsistent – horizontal movement as well. It may actually move to the top of his repertoire as his best offering eventually. Hughes also seemed to reserve the cutter’s usage against righties. His fastball, which would consistently sit in the 94- to 96-mph range in college, downgraded to 92 to 93 and touching 95 on rare occasion. Average mid-80s slider and upper-70s curveball. I did not see his once-promising changeup either. Hughes showed a decent feel for the strike zone, which only came about during his final year with Gonzaga. Assuming the elbow will be completely resolved in the near future, Hughes looks like a solid #4 / #5-type starter at his peak.

Ceiling: 1.5- to 2.0-win player

Risk: Moderate to High

MLB ETA: 2025

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10. Dyan Jorge, SS

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Background: Colorado handed Jorge the largest international free agent deal in franchise history when they signed him to a whopping $2.8 million pact two years ago. The Cuban import spent that summer dominating in the foreign rookie league, slugging .320/.402/.452 with 13 doubles, one triple, four homeruns, and 13 stolen bases (though it took him 23 tries to do so). Last season, the front office took the unexpectedly cautious approach and sent him to the stateside rookie league. And he was Ruthian: he slugged .370/.495/.644 in 21 games. After that start the powers-that-be had no other choice but to bump him up to Low-A. He batted .283/.322/.338 in 49 games with Fresno.

Snippet from The 2023 Prospect Digest Handbook: Nice, easy right-handed swing with good torque through the torso. Jorge projects to have a 45-grade bat, average power, and a potential 55-grade glove.

Scouting Report: From a physical stand point Jorge’s wiry frame still has plenty of room for growth and added strength. He’s built similar to Guardians right-hander Triston McKenzie. And that’s going to be the crux of Jorge’s future development: is he going to develop the strength – both in terms of muscle and rotationally – to consistently drive the ball? When I saw him last summer he wasn’t doing that. Plus speed, solid defense, and consistent bat-to-ball skills. If the power doesn’t show up, he’ll find himself on the fast-track to utility-dom.

Ceiling: 1.5- to 2.0-win player

Risk: Moderate to High

MLB ETA: 2027

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All statistics were provided via the following website: Baseball Reference, FanGraphs, TheBaseballCube, BaseballProspectus, ClayDavenport.com, Baseball America, and X-user @mk237700 (for compiling Statcast Data)

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